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ROJANKSY |
Critics
of Israel: Try a Role-Playing Exercise
by Matthew
Rojansky [author, consultant] 7/26/06 |
Imagine you
are Ehud Olmert, Prime Minister of Israel. Your state, which
was created by a vote of the United Nations General Assembly
in part to accommodate Jewish survivors of the Holocaust, is
roughly the size of New Jersey, with a population smaller than
that of Los Angeles. You are a tiny democratic island in a
sea of hostile authoritarian Arab and Muslim regimes which
have sworn to destroy you. You have prevailed—sometimes
only barely—in five defensive and preemptive wars against
overwhelming odds, thanks in large part to your conscript army
of young Israeli men and women, and to the usually strong economic
and strategic support of your one faithful ally, the United
States of America.
Since 1993,
your government has taken unprecedented steps to make peace
with its Arab neighbors
and even with the Arab and
Islamist terrorist groups whose top priority has always been
the absolute eradication of the Jewish presence in the Middle
East. In exchange for their promises to stop terror attacks and
their grudging formal acknowledgment of your right to exist,
you have withdrawn from territories captured at great cost in
legitimate defensive wars. You have handed over sovereignty on
your very doorstep—the Palestinian “West Bank” literally
encircles your capitol city, Jerusalem—to known terrorists,
and permitted the international community to arm and supply Palestinian “security
forces,” in the hopes that these quasi-legitimate organs
of a quasi-state would at least rein in Hamas, Islamic Jihad
and other groups which threatened their own control as well as
your country’s safety.
In 2000, Prime Minister
Ehud Barak ordered a full withdrawal from a five-mile-wide
buffer zone in Southern Lebanon, which
Israeli forces had held since the 1982 war with Lebanon to guard
against rocket attacks by Hezbollah’s terrorist militia.
For the first time since 1948, the United Nations “approved” of
Israel, by certifying the withdrawal and demanding a halt to
rocket attacks and the disarmament of terror groups. Two subsequent
UN Security Council Resolutions have called for “the disbanding
and disarmament” of all militias in the country. In 2005,
over the objection of his own party and to the world’s
surprise, your predecessor in office, Ariel Sharon, ordered a
complete withdrawal of Israeli civilians and soldiers from the
Gaza Strip, a territory held since Egypt’s invasion of
Israel in 1967. Even though Gaza’s northern border is less
than fifty miles from Tel Aviv, Israel’s largest city,
the area is now under the Palestinian sovereignty, with Hamas
exerting the most palpable influence.
Today, your country is embroiled in yet another bitter war,
this time on two fronts. The two territories from which your
predecessors withdrew their soldiers have, predictably, become
launching pads for renewed attacks on Israeli soldiers and civilians.
Last month, Hamas terrorists crossed into Israel from Gaza and
attacked Israeli border guards with automatic weapons and explosives,
taking hostage a young Israeli soldier they had wounded and captured
in the attack. Two weeks later, while your attention was engaged
in Gaza in an effort to locate the captured soldier, Hezbollah
operatives crossed your northern border and attacked another
guard post, this time bringing back two soldiers as hostages.
You know
that Hezbollah has thousands of mobile mortars and rockets,
including sophisticated
and powerful missiles provided
by the group’s Syrian and Iranian backers. You also know
these weapons are capable of hitting your third-largest city,
Haifa, and some may even be able to reach Tel Aviv. In coordination
with its own and allied cells inside Israel and the Palestinian
territories, Hezbollah can also carry out ruthless suicide attacks
against civilians anywhere in the country, without any chance
of warning or defense. It is clear to you that beyond the hundreds
of casualties they may cause, these weapons are designed to terrorize
the Israeli populace, so that millions will stay cowering in
bomb shelters, and the economy will grind to a halt.
What are
your options? You know that any government in the world, faced
with such provocation, would not hesitate to exercise its
legal and moral right
to self-defense with all appropriate and available military means. Yet your
circumstances are different from those of most other states. Your attackers
have extremely powerful allies, with massive military stockpiles of their
own and huge diplomatic influence born of their chokehold on
the world’s
oil supply. You know that your response will be judged by a far higher standard
that that applied to your attackers or to almost any other government in the
world.
You cannot do nothing
and hope the threat will disappear. After all, giving such
groups what they wanted in the past has only
shown them and the world that terrorist methods are the best
means to any political end. You can remind the Lebanese government
of its legal obligation to find the captives and bring the kidnappers
to justice, but your counterpart, Prime Minister Fouad Siniora,
has admitted himself that Hezbollah calls the shots. You will
get no help from Syria or Iran, the terrorists’ main backers,
since your state’s total annihilation is a basic platform
and longstanding policy of both regimes. Will the United Nations
respond to an Israeli plea with decisive action and swift justice?
It never once has. Moreover, UN’s Israel-Lebanon peacekeeping
mission was supposed to have prevented these kinds of provocations
in the first place, but like the rest of Lebanon, they too are
powerless against Hezbollah.
Many in the international
community will advise you to act with restraint, to limit your
response in order not to cause civilian
casualties among the Lebanese populace. Indeed, they argue, to
endanger Lebanese civilians will only harm Israel’s own
interests, as it will radicalize the “Arab street” against
Israel. Yet you know that to declare any particular type of target
absolutely off limits will simply give Hezbollah a safe harbor
of which they will not fail to take full advantage. This is,
after all, a terrorist group known to conceal its fighters and
munitions in homes, schools, and hospitals for just that reason.
As for radicalizing Arab civilians, you know that the best way
to help ordinary Lebanese stand up for peace and democracy, and
against Hezbollah is to show them that the terrorists will not
win. Not even the bravest politician will be foolish enough to
rally people against Hezbollah if they know its fighter will
remain armed and organized after an ineffective Israeli response.
And this is Lebanon, where no figure, even the Prime Minister,
is beyond the reach of the assassin’s bullet.
With reluctance, not
only to send thousands of young Israelis into bloody battle
yet again, but to give the terrorists the
war and destruction they crave, you nonetheless recognize that
you have only one choice. You must ask Lebanese civilians to
evacuate, to distance themselves physically and politically from
the terrorists in their midst, and to do their best to stay hidden
and sheltered during any fighting. But you must also use all
possible force, including overwhelming airpower and targeted
raids, backed by a relentless bombardment from the ground, to
show Hezbollah leaders that they cannot possibly profit from
killing or kidnapping Israelis. Indeed, your top priority by
the end of the conflict is to leave Hezbollah an unarmed, leaderless
and disorganized rump. Only then can your people have any hope
of living in safety and security, and only then will the Lebanese
themselves have a prayer of throwing off the terrorists’ yoke.
You know, as usual,
that while Israel can choose the means of fighting this war,
it cannot choose the endpoint. Some time soon,
international pressure will force the United States to exert
its influence for an immediate ceasefire, no matter how many
or how few Israeli objectives have been achieved. With your ally’s
prestige and credibility on the line, you will have to call off
the assault, giving whatever remains of Hezbollah the opportunity
to withdraw, regroup, and dissolve into the civilian population.
Of course you cannot ever totally eliminate Hezbollah. It is
a movement that thrives on chaos, suffering, and above all, hatred
of Israel, your people and your home. But if they have been sufficiently
weakened by the time President Bush or Condoleeza Rice imposes
a ceasefire, there may be a chance, in time, to make a lasting
peace. CRO
copyright
2006 Matthew Rojansky
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