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Stay
The Course
Speech
to the Los Angeles Republican Party...
[Tom
McClintock] 11/23/05
Just
days after leading England safely
through World War II, Winston Churchill suffered a devastating
defeat at the hands of British voters. As
he watched the dismal results roll in, Clementine sat beside
him, patted his knee and said, “Well, if you ask me, Winston,
it’s a blessing in disguise.” Churchill
growled, “Well at the moment, madam, it is very well disguised,
indeed.”
Tonight
I’d like to point out a few blessings in this election however
well disguised they might seem at the moment.
Contributors
Tom
McClintock
Mr.
McClintock is an expert on matters of the State
budget and fiscal discipline. He is a Senator
in the California State Legislature and ran
for Governor in the 2003 recall election. His
valuable website is found at www.tommclintock.com [McClintock index]
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The
first is that we didn’t lose any
ground in this election. Propositions
73 through 77 were attempts to move us back in
a conservative direction
and although they failed, we’re not any the worse off. And
don’t forget, the Left tried to move us in their direction
with Propositions 79 and 80, which would have
socialized the pharmaceutical and energy markets. Both
of those measures were ALSO soundly defeated and
they were defeated by a greater margin overall
than the Governor’s
measures. In
fact, the two most conservative measures 73
(parental abortion notification) and 75 (paycheck
protection) did the best,
and the two most liberal measures 79 and 80 did
the worst.
The
second blessing is the fact that to defeat the Governor’s
initiatives, the Left had to outspend the Governor by well
over $50 million. They
can’t keep outspending us by that kind of margin, and when
there’s a level playing field, the result will be dramatically
different.
The
third is that although the specific measures were all defeated,
every poll that asked whether voters favored the general
principles of
the initiatives reported overwhelming public support. It
was not the underlying
philosophy
that the people rejected. That’s why the left had to resort to a “Tsunami
of lies and distortions,” as Sacramento Bee columnist Dan Weintraub
observed. For example, they attacked the redistricting reform
for giving the
final say over district lines to judges when in fact, that measure
gave the
final say TO THE VOTERS. Empires
built on lies don’t last very long. My favorite was
the last two days, after they had spent over $100 million on negative
ads, they
went back to voters and asked, “Tired of all the negative ads? Then
just vote NO.”
Fourth,
although the Governor’s approval rating has been forced down there
is one political institution that consistently fares even worse: the
liberal Democratic state legislature.
And
fifth, in San Diego, voters
overwhelmingly elected the Republican candidate against the Liberal
Democrat in that city’s mayoral election beating her by six points in
her own district.
I’m
not going to pretend that Tuesday’s election was anything for us to celebrate.
Voters rejected some of the most sensible propositions ever put to a vote:
that government should live within its means; that politicians shouldn’t
chose who gets to vote for them; that teachers should demonstrate sustained
competence before they’re granted lifetime tenure; that public employees
have a right to decide for themselves what candidates they’ll support
with their own money; and that parents have a right to know if their
teenaged daughter is being spirited out of school to have an abortion.
The rejection
of these measures was a major setback in the cause of reform and
a major victory for the government unions that are now ascendant, emboldened
and
unchallenged in their domination of our political and legislative
process.
But
I do make these points to illustrate that the situation is far from hopeless. And
as we review the election results and re-assess the political landscape,
we need to keep things in perspective. In
the grand scheme of things, this was a setback; not a cataclysm.
So
let’s be careful. In times like these, I have always found Mark Twain’s
advise helpful. He warned,
“We
should be careful to get out of an experience only
the wisdom that is in it and stop there; lest we
be like the cat that sits on a hot stove-lid; she
will never sit on a hot stove-lid again--and that
is well; but also she will never sit on a cold one
anymore."
Yes,
there were many tactical mistakes that were made, but I firmly
believe that the
strategic decisions made by the Governor in this election were
sound.
I
have long said that the same legislature that got California into
this mess is NOT going to get us back out. The governor learned
this during the first year of his administration, when, despite
a few cosmetic and incremental successes, no serious reforms
survived the legislature and the state’s finances continued to
deteriorate (masked by a $15 billion infusion of borrowed money).
The
governor ultimately had no alternative than to bring this impasse
to a head and appeal directly to the people. He could have maintained
a façade of bipartisanship, contented himself to tinker at the
margins, put forth pleasing half-measures while the state’s mounting
deficit continued to build but he chose finally to confront
the state’s condition boldly and forthrightly. And he knew that
to do so, he had to confront the government unions responsible
for that condition.
Should
the election have been called right after the recall when civic
attention and the Governor’s popularity were at an all-time high?
Could the reforms have been better selected, framed and crafted?
Would a clearer presentation of these issues have prevailed?
These
shoulda-coulda-woulda questions are important ones and I don’t
begrudge the pundits who are now raising and answering them. But
we shouldn ’t lose sight of Teddy Roosevelt’s observation that,
"It
is not the critic who counts: not the man who points
out how the strong man stumbles or where the doer
of deeds could have done better. The credit belongs
to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face
is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives
valiantly, who errs and comes up short again and
again (because there is no effort without error or
shortcoming), but who knows the great enthusiasms,
the great devotions, who spends himself for a worthy
cause …”
Now
all that we are hearing is that everyone must “work together
in the spirit of bi-partisan compromise.” Well, that’s very
nice and I hope it happens, but through all this soothing rhetoric
there is a hardened reality: the
government unions are now in a stronger political position
than ever and no “compromise” will escape the Capitol without
their seal of approval. The Governor tried to negotiate
last year when his approval ratings were at 65 percent what
makes anyone think that he’s in a stronger position now that
his ratings are at 35 percent? The governor tried to negotiate
when he could credibly threaten to go over the legislature to
the people what makes anyone think that he’s in a stronger
position now that that option has been cut off?
The
bad news is that California will
continue to drift upon the course that has already brought it
to the brink of insolvency. The
good news is that we live in a dynamic world where events have
a life of their own and can quickly reshape the political landscape. If
the fundamental course of the government is not changed and
the government unions have an intense self-interest and demonstrated
ability NOT to change crises will be coming with
increasing frequency and intensity in the years ahead. As
that happens, the politics of the state will shift very quickly,
most likely when we least expect it.
Let
me remind you that the last time the Democrats were so jubilant was right
after the 2002 election, when they had swept every constitutional office
in the state. And yet, just eighteen months and
several crises later both the Governor and the Secretary
of State had been replaced with Republicans.
Last
Tuesday was one disappointing battle in the struggle for the future of California.
But it proved that in order to prevail, the government unions must heavily
outspend and must shamelessly misrepresent any reform measures in order
to maintain their stranglehold on our government. And we know from the
polls that the basic principles of these initiatives were not rejected
by the electorate. And we can be sure that if the fundamental policies
of this state are not changed, we will continue down an unacceptable
path of chronic shortages and bloated budgets that we know the people
ultimately will not tolerate.
Here’s
what was really going against us. We
are attempting fundamental reforms of our state government. As
Machiavelli warned,
“There
is nothing more difficult to execute, nor more dubious
of success, nor more dangerous to administer than
to introduce a new order to things; for he who introduces
it has all those who profit from the old order as
his enemies; and he has only lukewarm allies in all
those who might profit from the new. ”
In
other words, reforms don’t happen on the first attempt, and they’re
the most difficult thing in all of politics to accomplish. The
governor knew the power of the government unions in this state
and he knew what he was taking on. He didn’t call this election
because he wanted to, because he thought it would be fun to have
tens of millions of dollars spent to vilify him. He did it because
he had to do it, because he is the governor of this state and
because to save California he
had to confront those powers and appeal to the people.
And
that is just one step in the struggle. Remember
what Tom Paine wrote after the humiliating defeat and retreat
from New York:
“These
are the times that try men’s souls. The
summer soldier and the sunshine patriot will, in
this crisis, shrink from the service of their country;
but he that stands it now, deserves the love and
thanks of man and woman. Tyranny,
like hell, is not easily conquered; yet we have this
consolation with us, that the harder the conflict,
the more glorious the triumph. What
we obtain too cheap, we esteem too lightly: it is
dearness only that gives every thing its value. ”
We
humans are creatures of habit. We
instinctively resist change and engineer our institutions
of government to resist it as well. Change
only occurs in a society when the necessity for it finally
overcomes our own resistance to it.
The
American Founders recognized how difficult it is to change
a regime even a manifestly incompetent and tyrannical one.
In the Declaration of Independence, Jefferson warned
that:
“All
experience hath shown that mankind are more disposed
to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right
themselves by abolishing the forms (of government)
to which they are accustomed. ”
That
is why serious reforms only come in a state of agitation. I’ll
be honest with you; I thought these measures would pass for a
simple reason. Two years ago, we recalled Gray Davis for policies
that had bankrupted this state and this election was the opportunity
to actually change
those policies.
But
here is the difference between the recall of 2003 and what happened
last week. During the
recall, the people perceived a crisis. Last
week they did not. Let
us brace ourselves to the fact that ours is not the party of
the status quo in California,
and that makes our job very difficult. We
are the party of change in a state where the status quo has produced
a paradox of chronic shortages amidst record spending. We
are here because we recognize that change is essential, and the
longer we delay that change, the greater the waste of resources
and the worse the quality of life in California will
be.
IF
we are correct in the assumption that the state cannot continue down
this path, then it should naturally follow that conditions will build
until we reach that tipping point when the necessity for change overcomes
our natural resistance to it. And
if we’re correct, then it is only a matter of time before a new crisis
reawakens the people of California, as one did just two years ago when
62 percent of the votes were cast for Republican candidates for Governor.
I
will leave you with this question: What would Ronald
Reagan do?
I
think he ’d tell us to stay the course.
I
think he’d tell us to level with the people over
the condition of our state, and be resolute and forthright
in presenting the solutions that must ultimately
resolve it.
I
think he’d tell us that we need to engage every Californian
in this discussion, and take our message to every
community in our state, especially
those who don’t consider themselves Republicans.
I
think he’d remind us that great parties are built
upon great principles and they are ultimately judged
by their devotion to those principles.
I
think he’d tell us that our principles are sound,
and that if we are true to them, and true to the
people, we will ultimately prevail.
And
I think he’d tell us that California is
worth fighting for no matter how long or hard the struggle
may be.
Because
at the end of that struggle, we will restore to our children
that California of
opportunity and plenty that our parents gave to us. CRO
Speech by Senator McClintock given to the Los Angeles County
Republican Central Committee on November 15, 2005
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