Contributors
Carol Platt Liebau - Columnist
Carol
Platt Liebau is a senior member of the CaliforniaRepublic.org
editorial board. She is an attorney, political analyst and commentator
based in San Marino, CA, and has appeared on the Fox News
Channel,
MSNBC, Orange County News Channel, Cox Cable and a variety of
radio programs throughout the United States. A graduate of
Princeton
University
and Harvard Law School, Carol Platt Liebau also served as the
first female managing editor of the Harvard Law Review.
A Marriage
of Convenience
Conservatives
should accept Schwarzenegger to help rejuvenate state GOP
[Carol Platt Liebau] 8/25/03
[Editor's
note: This editorial was also published yesterday in the Orange
County Register Sunday Commentary section.] John
Kenneth
Galbraith
once observed that politics consists of choosing
between the disastrous and the unpalatable. Nothing could better
summarize
the reaction of many of California’s conservatives
to the prospect of a liberal Republican like Arnold Schwarzenegger
winning
the recall election.
From a conservative’s
perspective, the good news
about Arnold’s candidacy is that it puts the last nail in the
coffin of the Gray Davis governorship. The bad news is
that it dooms the candidacy of conservative state Sen. Tom McClintock,
as well. He lacks Schwarzenegger’s nearly universal
name identification, mountains of money and white-hot charisma.
And
with the recall less than two months off, there’s
no time to develop them.
So conservative
Republicans are at a crossroads. It may be tempting
for them to stay with McClintock – their true love – but
they need to swing their support to Schwarzenegger and
commit themselves to a political marriage of convenience.
There’s no doubt that there’s much for conservative
Republicans to dislike in Arnold’s positions. He
is presumably a "social moderate" – and
he’s certainly
not the second coming of Ronald Reagan. But even so,
the California Republican Party needs Arnold, badly.
More than
anything, Republicans simply need a winner. Politics is, in
part, perception. Right now, Republicans are vastly
outnumbered in the Legislature, and their views have
been caricatured so
consistently that, to many Californians, they seem
to be little more than a bunch of greedy and out-of-touch
Philistines.
In fact,
the "Republican" brand name in California
has become so tarnished that Republicans need a candidate who
transcends party labels just to reintroduce apolitical California
voters to the concept of supporting the state’s GOP. Only
this "second look" from voters can enable
the Republican Party and its supporters to begin
building the following that
will allow a conservative (like Tom McClintock!)
to govern successfully in the future.
But Arnold
needs the conservative Republicans just about as much as they
need him. Conservatives are, in many ways,
the California Republican Party’s backbone. They work with a force disproportionate
to their numbers. They are the people who give up their weekends
to attend state party conventions and spend their free time walking
precincts for a favored candidate. Although Schwarzenegger could
win without them, it would be vastly to his advantage to gain
their support before the election – not only to help him
claim a mandate, but also to ensure the Republican support in
Sacramento that will allow him to be effective in curbing the
excesses of the Democratic-controlled state Legislature. After
all, the Democrats have no incentive to help him achieve anything – it
would only prove how colossally incompetent their
own leadership has been.
So Arnold
is going to need to rely on both conservative and moderate
Republicans to have any hope of leaving a legacy
worth having.
And the conservatives will remember how they
are treated by Arnold now. He must therefore
find a way to woo the state’s conservatives – people
of firm and longstanding principle, who might
well wonder why they should vote for a candidate
who shares few of their views,
just for the meager satisfaction of having
a titular Republican in the statehouse.
With
two simple steps, Schwarzenegger could significantly
increase his support on the right: first, by pledging that
if he is elected governor, he will actively support and campaign hard for Republican
Party candidates throughout the state; and
second, by offering
McClintock a visible, important post in any
Schwarzenegger administration.
Promising
political reciprocity would provide conservative party activists
with a real incentive to help
Arnold win. Conservatives
would understand that, in exchange for
their support, Schwarzenegger is willing to use the power and
prestige
of the governorship
to offer them the opportunity to make their
case to California’s
voters. And by offering McClintock an important administration
post, Schwarzenegger would allay conservative fears that, as
governor, he will surround himself exclusively with "white
wine and brie" advisors, who find it infinitely easier to
make common cause with liberals than to shock elite opinion by
actually acknowledging the validity of some conservative views.
With both tactics, Arnold would be making it clear that – just
as he expects tolerance for his own socially liberal views from
all segments of his party – he is
willing to extend that same tolerance to
Republican conservatives.
It is hard
to ask conservatives – largely ignored, maligned
or belittled in California political life – to forgo the
chance of putting one of their own in the governor’s mansion.
But the recall of Gray Davis offers California Republicans their
best opportunity, perhaps for years to come, to convince the
voters that they are ready and able to govern. Conservative Republicans
are at a turning point – either
they can offer Arnold their help in exchange
for his and begin the long climb back
to power,
or they can attack him and become so
marginalized that they ultimately fade
into complete irrelevance.
In making
their decision, even the most principled
conservatives
need to understand that almost any
Republican is better than almost any Democrat. For
his part, Schwarzenegger must convince
them that his election will offer them
and the issues they care
about enhanced credibility in the long
run. With mutual respect and a clear
understanding on both sides of the
compromises involved,
a marriage of convenience between Arnold
and the California Republicans could,
in time, become a love match.
CRO columnist Carol Platt Liebau is a political analyst and
commentator based in San Marino, CA.
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