Prendergast is an opinion writer for Berkeley's conservative
President Bush on his way to winning the golden state...
[Josiah Prendergast] 4/23/04
are turning and so are heads as the political climate, especially
in regards to the Democratic
Party, becomes increasingly
chaotic. This heavily fractionalized institution is rallying
forces to bring the ABB (Anyone But Bush) crusade to victory.
Yet their newfound unity is at best a façade that chooses
to neglect the reality of the Democratic Party’s void of
true leadership. With the lack of a unifying candidate, as clearly
they have none, the ‘04 presidential election will be for
the Democrats what the recall was for Gray Davis—-a crushing
Although the Kerry campaign is emphasizing his “strength,” the
polls are telling a different story. For many voters it has been
less about Kerry’s capabilities and more about his mediocrity.
Washington Post’s David Von Drehle noted, “Kerry
led 2 to 1 among voters who rated electability as the quality
they cared most about in a candidate.” This shows that
Sen. Kerry is not supported because of his ideas, but because
the public believes he is the “lesser of evils,” in
a particularly bad pool of liberal candidates.
Further crippling Kerry’s campaign is his inability to
identify with the common man. One need not look further than
our current president for a beneficiary of this sentiment. Often
painted as more of a common man than a textbook “politician,” President
Bush empathizes with students, the workingman, immigrants, and
the public in general. Bush has also demonstrated his ability
to lead the nation in times of crisis and follow through on promises,
something Democrats have repeatedly demonstrated they are incapable
While the picking-up of the California electorate may come through
subtle changes on the individual level, it has been suggested
that President Bush will draw uncharacteristically strong support
from at least one primarily Democratic voting bloc. One of the
definitive opinions on California politics, Prof. Bruce Cain
of UC Berkeley has offered the theoretical possibility of the
shift in voting nature of the Jewish community, due to the pro-Sharon
policies of the current administration.
In a turn of events that truly exhibited the
reclaiming of California by the Republican Party, some of the
Bay Area news mediums have
decided to be slightly amicable in their treatment of President
Bush. The Contra Costa Times even referred to the President’s
relative restraint in domestic spending as “a step in the
right direction.” If this is any indication as to the political
climate in the San Francisco Bay Area, then the Bush/Cheney campaign
will have little difficulty picking up the 75,000 SF votes it
Many ill-informed critics will shout that most
of what I’ve
cited has yet to be specific to the standard voting bloc of Californians.
They may even argue that voters may be swayed by the ways in
which the democratic presidential candidates have addressed the
ever-important issue of education. While the Left Wing figureheads
have focused on criticizing the No Child Left Behind law, the
children in our public school systems are abandoned to suffer
the consequences of the liberal left, that uses their cause as
nothing more than a talking point.
Expect the most influential new voting bloc to
come from the very students that have been ignored by the Left’s agenda.
Although it has long been believed that college students will
not support a Republican agenda, a transformation is taking place.
A January 26th article from USA Today explained this trend and
cited Paul Houston, of the American Association of School Administrators,
explaining, “It’s a more conservative generation.”
In California, the California College Republicans
(CCR), an organization that was a mere 10 chapters less than
ago, has blossomed into 56 chapters spread out across the entire
state. While the established chapters, such as that at UC Davis,
are tallying membership in the hundreds, brand new College Republican
chapters have been sprouting up. Vanguard University’s
branch of the CCR is a mere semester old and already draws nearly
2% of the student population.
Whether you are on the campus, in the classroom, at your office,
or enjoying the privacy of your home, rest assured that this
state will regain its prestige with the healing hand of conservative
flavor. Through the re-election of President Bush and the leadership
of Governor Schwarzenegger, California will once again be a state
in which one can be proud to reside. CRO