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Contributors
Gordon
Cucullu- Contributor
Former Green
Beret lieutenant colonel, Gordon Cucullu is now an editorialist,
author and a popular speaker. Born into a military
family, he lived and served for more than thirteen years in East
Asia, including eight years in Korea. For his Special Forces
service in Vietnam he was awarded a Bronze Star, Vietnamese Cross
of Gallantry, and the Presidential Unit Commendation. After separation
from the Army, he worked on Korea and East Asian affairs at both
the Pentagon and Department of State as well as an executive
for General Electric in Korea. His first major non-fiction work,
Separated
at Birth: How North Korea became the Evil Twin, is
based in large part on his extensive experience in
Korea and East Asia as a governmental insider and businessman.
[website]
[go to Cucullu index]
The
Anaconda Strategy
Squeezing Kim Jong Il…
[Gordon Cucullu] 11/16/04
Under the politically convoluted constraints that define the
War on Terror, we and our allies often need to pursue strategically
critical actions but may not wish publicly to call them what
they are. A good case in point is the Anaconda Strategy in
Northeast Asia. There is well underway an expanding naval blockade
of North Korean. It is not called a blockade because would
be tantamount to an act of war under international rules. And
a shooting war with North Korea is what we hope to avoid. But
the need to intercept North Korean contraband is absolutely
necessary.
Despite the virtual impossibility of obtaining statistics of
any kind - let alone reliable ones - from the North Koreans,
there can be little argument that the corrupt Stalinist regime
of Kim Jong Il is disintegrating. International relief workers,
defectors, refugees and visitors corroborate reports of mass
starvation, rationing of food and medicine, and an extraordinary
amount of poverty. Photos from outer space reveal such a lack
of electrical power generation capability that the country becomes
a dark, forbidding landscape at night. By contrast Japan, South
Korea and China glow outwards into space, a fitting metaphor
for their economic and social progress compared to the retrogressive
North.
Because of the abject
poverty imposed by a combination of bizarre personality cult,
failed communist economic policies, and police
state regimentation, Kim Jong Il is desperate to find cash sufficient
to finance his loathsome regime. Kim has eccentric, expensive
tastes, but despite a façade of absolute command, he is
vulnerable to the paradox that besets all totalitarian rulers:
he is hostage to the well being of his immediate supporters.
They must be fed lavishly, pampered extravagantly, and given
all possible power over those of lesser rank, for only in this
manner can Kim secure their loyalty. Without these powerful subordinates
he will fall, so the compulsive drive for money dominates all
policy decisions.
Consequently, in a
country in which millions barely subsist on pitifully scant
rations Kim has directed that thousands of
hectares of agricultural land be diverted into opium production.
After harvest the opium is refined into potent heroin and exported,
primarily to Southeast Asian markets. Chemical narcotics, methamphetamines,
are manufactured for export, primarily to Japan and South Korea.
Some of this extremely addictive junk makes it to the US through
Hawaii where its street name is ‘ice.’
In a country with life-threatening sanitation and health deficiencies,
scarce technological resources are diverted into producing long
range guided missiles that can be sold to rogue regimes with
hard currency and soft morals. Most ominously North Korea has
aggressively pursued development of chemical and biological weapons
along with its nuclear program. It is foolish in the extreme
to think that these horrific weapons are not on the auction block
for any Islamist terrorist with sufficient cash.
Most North Korean weapons-narcotics contraband is exported in
an aging but seaworthy fleet of merchant vessels flying the North
Korean flag. Other ships sailing under flags of convenience are
North Korean owned. Many of these ships transit Japan, particularly
the port region of Osaka-Kobe. In this largely industrial region
of western Japan resides a huge Korean-Japanese population. They
are generational descendants of workers imported from Korea during
the 1910-1945 colonial period. Many are part of the yakuza, or
gangster element. The Kim Jong Il regime has deep ties within
this criminal community.
For years North Korean shipping was given a pass by Japanese
customs and port inspectors rather than upset the always delicate
bilateral relationship. Since 9-11 Japan has actively supported
American efforts to combat terrorism worldwide. A large part
of this effort has been refocused attention on North Korean shipping.
While not engaged in anything resembling a blockade, of course,
Japanese inspectors are extremely concerned with safety violations
on some of these ships, often requiring repairs and re-inspection
that keep them tied to the wharfs for an extended time. Customs
and narcotics investigators, meanwhile, sift through cargo to
detect the narcotics and weaponry banned by international agreement.
Farther to the south US, Australian, Singaporean and Philippine
naval and customs authorities are intercepting, boarding and
on occasion seizing North Korean ships. One such freighter loaded
with heroin was stopped en route to Sydney. Others have been
nabbed by the highly professional Singaporean authorities. US
Navy vessels, alerted by intelligence sources, possibly Japanese,
not long ago intercepted a North Korean ship loaded with missiles
that were listed under bills of lading for Yemen but were destined
for Syria.
This quiet
strategy is paying off. Even if some shipments slip through,
as we realistically know that they must, more contraband
is being taken out of circulation than ever before. This means
less sorely needed foreign currency reaches the desperate North
Korean regime, and the weaker it becomes. The strategy reminds
of the anaconda, a snake that is mistakenly thought to kill its
prey by crushing it. Rather the anaconda wraps tightly across
the chest of the victim tightening its deadly coils to take up
slack when the prey exhales. Eventually the prey suffocates.
So too the Anaconda Strategy is slowly, inexorably tightening
pressure across the most vital economic airway of the North Korean
regime. It is too soon to predict accurately demise of the loathsome
Kim Jong Il regime but it is reassuring that proper steps are
underway to make that happen. tRO
copyright
Gordon Cucullu 2004
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